Predicting the 2nd CFB Playoff Rankings
- TTP Team
- Nov 7, 2016
- 2 min read
If there is one thing we've learned from the relatively new College Football Playoff system, it's that we have no idea what the committee is thinking. Yes, they typically explain their reasoning after the fact, but typically there was no chance to predict their decisions ahead of time.
Take for example, the 1st rankings for this season: Texas A&M over undefeated Washington. The committee then said it was simply due to the fact that Texas A&M has played a tougher schedule. After-the-fact, that would make a little sense due to the (arguably non-existent) SEC bias, but who would have predicted that ahead of last Tuesday?
Unfortunately for the committee, their ranking of TAMU over WASH was bad...
With that being said, we have attempted to do our own prediction of the CFB Playoff rankings. Don't let this confuse you with our TTP Top 25, this prediction is based solely on the 1st CFB Playoff Rankings and how each team performed last week.
RECAP
The 25 teams in the CFP Rankings didn't change; however, the order changed. We felt there wasn't enough to push the handful of teams that lost last week (Baylor, Florida, LSU, Nebraska) out of the top 25, and performances from those outside of the top 25 didn't impress enough to jump in over #25 Baylor.
The only big disagreement amongst our team didn't affect our prediction much. One team member believed that Washington might once again be jumped, this time by Ohio State. His reasoning was that Ohio State's win over ranked Nebraska looked far better than Washington's win over Cal. He also believed that the committee would see Ohio State's schedule strength to again be superior to Washington's.
Alas, Washington is #4 in our prediction, and that's right where they belong!
The only other semi-significant prediction to look at is Boise State staying at 24, despite Baylor dropping below them. This is more of a prediction that the committee will not give the love to Boise State that they likely would have had Boise State not attempted to sleepwalk a win over Wyoming two weeks ago. Because Boise State has a big fat 'L' looming over their heads, until Western Michigan loses a game, Boise State's climb will be much harder. The other issue with this ranking is the team sitting at 23, Washington State, who lost to Boise State in week 2. Our belief is that Washington State's schedule is more competitive than Boise State's, leading to a slight advantage in favor of Washington State.
The next ranking comes out Tuesday night at 7 PM eastern!
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